Crash Recovery Calculator
Bitcoin drops 50%? Then it needs to rise 100%. Not 50%. A hundred. Drag the slider and see for yourself.
Bitcoin drops by...
-50%
-5%-50%-95%
Bitcoin then needs to rise by...
+100%
...just to get back to ±0. No profit. Just break-even.
-50%
+100%
Loss → Required recovery
| Loss | Recovery needed | Pain level |
|---|---|---|
| -10% | +11% | 😐 Manageable |
| -20% | +25% | 😐 Manageable |
| -30% | +43% | 😰 Painful |
| -40% | +67% | 😰 Painful |
| -50% | +100% | 😰 Painful |
| -60% | +150% | 🫠 Brutal |
| -70% | +233% | 🫠 Brutal |
| -80% | +400% | 🫠 Brutal |
| -90% | +900% | 💀 Nearly impossible |
| -95% | +1900% | 💀 Nearly impossible |
Historical Bitcoin crashes
| Year | From → To | Crash | Needed for break-even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $32 → $2 | -94% | ~1'467% |
| 2014 | $1'100 → $170 | -85% | ~567% |
| 2018 | $19'700 → $3'200 | -84% | ~516% |
| 2022 | $69'000 → $15'500 | -78% | ~345% |
Bitcoin recovered every single time — but it took 1-3 years. Those who sold at -80% are still waiting.
Avoid crashes instead of recovering from them?
Our bot moves to cash before the crash hits. Not perfect — but better than sitting through -78%.
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