Tested & Proven7 minOne Good Trade Is Not An Edge. Here's the Math.
Four biases turn one lucky win into a story about your skill. Here's how to know which one you actually have.
May 12, 2026
DT
DominicRun by a Swiss physics teacher with skin in the game
I put my own money on one of these bots.
You can watch it work or fail in real time.
The Watchdog trades real capital on Bybit, today. The other 11 are paper-tracked under our seven-test validation suite. Every retired strategy has an autopsy at /post-mortems. Zero affiliate links — every dollar of feedback I get is from the bots, not from you.
Bot Radar
Live performance · updated hourly
Live
The Watchdog
Real CapitalIn cash since 19d — waiting for re-entry signal
Equity · last 30d
+ 9 Paper Bots — live returns
Best paper bot
Alpha Hunter +14.08%
BTC
Get every bot signal + the free 17 Biases PDF
No spam · Unsubscribe anytime
What to expect
Data over gut feeling
Live trading bots
12 bots — 11 paper-tracked, 1 real-money pilot (Watchdog) — all tier-labeled under our v2.2 score system. You see every signal in real time.
Meet the botsTrading Bias series
Why most traders lose: loss aversion, anchoring, confirmation bias. 17 biases explained with data — plus a free 38-page PDF compilation.
Get the free PDFThe Hidden Taxes
Every trader reports profit in percent. Nobody reports profit per hour. Two deep-dives into the costs the industry won't calculate for you.
Read the seriesThe Proof
DCA is good. In the backtest, our bot is better.
$100 per month since 2022. Same period, same amount. The backtest says the bot avoids the crashes — and the all-paper-policy is what tests whether it does so going forward.
$100/month since 2022
Calculate yoursDCA Plan
+57%
BearBullRadar Bot
+145%
The Difference
2.5×
Free Forever · No Credit Card
TheBot-Letter
Get the same signals our 10 live trading bots send our internal team — before they show up on the website.
- The 17 Biases That Wreck Your Trading38 pages · 10 backtest traps + 6 behavioral biases + the meta-bias, backed with 6 years of real BTC data · arrives instantly
- Bot signal accessEvery BUY/SELL across all 12 live bots · in your inbox the moment it happens
- Weekly performance reviewEquity curves · what worked · what didn't · zero marketing spin
Free PDF · 38 pages
The 17 Biases
Every trap that wrecks your trading — plus a checklist to catch yourself before the damage.
→Part I: 10 backtest traps
→Part II: The meta-bias
→Part III: 6 behavioral biases
→Part IV: Bias-resistance checklist
bearbullradar.com
Latest Bot Signal
just now
🏄 The Surfer · GRID mode active · BTC $75k · range $64k–$87k
Subscribers got this one 47 minutes before it appeared on the website.
10 live bots tracked
71 published reviews
Zero affiliate links
Unsubscribe anytime · No spam · GDPR-safe
3 simple steps
How it works
01
The bots analyze
12 bots scan Bitcoin, US stocks, DeFi protocols and funding-rate markets around the clock. Built on 6 years of backtest data and the 7-test validation suite. No gut feeling, only math.
02
The signal fires
Buy or sell — you get the alert in real time via Telegram or email. No login needed, no dashboard checking.
03
You decide
Follow the signal or don't. Your money, your control. We show you what the data says. You decide what to do with it.
The BotLab — 23 wild strategies tested
We test the wild stuff.
Lunar cycles, Trump tweets, halving countdowns, Reddit sentiment — 23 deliberately weird bot ideas backtested on 6 years of real BTC data. Most failed. A few surprised us. What survived is on /bots.
HODL benchmark over 8 years: +473%. Only 3 of 22 strategies beat it.
Backtests test the past. The future is a regime we haven't fully observed. More on the induction problem →
Best risk-adjusted backtest · Waiting for next signal
The Halving Countdown. Fires twice per cycle.
Buy 6 months before each halving, sell 12 months after. 8-year backtest: +1,706% vs BTC HODL +473%. Max drawdown only -52% (vs HODL's -77%). Two trades per cycle. Cleanest pattern in crypto.
4 observed halvings. 4 successful pattern fires. Tiny sample, suggestive evidence. See Past ≠ Future.
What we got wrong
Most sites show winners. We show the failures first.
Every retired strategy. Every combo that failed walk-forward. Every backtest that looked great until we ran the honest version. Because honest failure reporting is the only way you can trust the wins.
Demoted Tier 1 → 2
All-Paper Policy: Every Bot
Adopted 2026-04-28. Watchdog (our most-tested bot) lost real-money allocation under v2.1 multi-benchmark recompute. No bot graduates back until 6 months forward-validated.
Retired same day
The Contrarian
Walk-Forward-on-params showed NO config beats HODL out-of-sample. Per-trade W/L 4.92:1 was real but couldn't compensate. Retired 2026-04-27.
Removed from lineup
The Scout — fully archived
Loses to HODL by 1,572 pp over 6 years. Was kept as 'warning example' — concluded that adds clutter, not signal. Failed strategies belong in the post-mortem ledger, not the active grid.
Latest articles
Myths, data & real stories
Every article is based on real backtest data or personal experience. No opinions — only facts.
Tested & Proven7 min
Tested & Proven9 minI Tested the Most Obvious Trading Pattern. Zero Walk-Forward Wins.
Daily, 4h, 1h. BTC and XRP. Ninety windows against buy-and-hold. Here's what the framework caught.
May 6, 2026
DT
Dominic
My Bots9 minThe Bot That Locks In 11% Yield — And Why I Almost Shipped It Wrong
Pendle Yield Hunter just earned the highest validation score in BearBullRadar history (15/16). Not because it's clever. Because it knows which DeFi protocols to refuse.
May 5, 2026
DT
Dominic
Tested & Proven9 minI Made My Own Tests Stricter. Half My Tier-1 Bots Got Demoted.
Three new tests. One alternative anchor. A score-based decision rule. The result: fewer flagship bots, more honest ones.
May 5, 2026
DT
Dominic
Tested & Proven9 minSeven Tests Every Bot Must Pass Before It Earns A Tier
I built 12 bots. My own framework called most of them failures. Then I added two more tests.
May 4, 2026
DT
Dominic
My Bots9 minI Compared My 12 Bots To Hedge Funds, 3Commas, And ChatGPT-Trading
Three different worlds. Three different scoreboards. Here's where our bots honestly stand against each one.
May 4, 2026
DT
DominicAbout me
Who's behind BearBullRadar?
I'm Dominic. Physics teacher. MSc in Physics from ETH Zurich. Living with my wife and three kids in Switzerland. And I have a problem: I don't believe anyone until I've tested it myself.
So I tested 200 trading strategies on real Bitcoin data. Systematically. Over 6 years. The result? Most "tips" you hear on YouTube burn your money. And the few that work are boring.
200+
Strategies tested
6 yrs
of backtest data
12
Bots across 4 tiers
23
Lab experiments
Free Forever · No Credit Card
TheBot-Letter
Get the same signals our 10 live trading bots send our internal team — before they show up on the website.
- The 17 Biases That Wreck Your Trading38 pages · 10 backtest traps + 6 behavioral biases + the meta-bias, backed with 6 years of real BTC data · arrives instantly
- Bot signal accessEvery BUY/SELL across all 12 live bots · in your inbox the moment it happens
- Weekly performance reviewEquity curves · what worked · what didn't · zero marketing spin
Free PDF · 38 pages
The 17 Biases
Every trap that wrecks your trading — plus a checklist to catch yourself before the damage.
→Part I: 10 backtest traps
→Part II: The meta-bias
→Part III: 6 behavioral biases
→Part IV: Bias-resistance checklist
bearbullradar.com
Latest Bot Signal
just now
🏄 The Surfer · GRID mode active · BTC $75k · range $64k–$87k
Subscribers got this one 47 minutes before it appeared on the website.
10 live bots tracked
71 published reviews
Zero affiliate links
Unsubscribe anytime · No spam · GDPR-safe