Mode 1: Observer · v0 · No capital moved

The Treasurer would allocate.

A meta-bot that reads opportunity signals from each validated strategy and recommends a daily capital allocation. No real or paper capital is moved — this is pure transparency about how a future allocator would route across the validated edges.

Capital preservation FIRSTSharpe SECONDCAGR THIRD

Decision · Jul 24, 2026

Today's recommendation

Computed at 7/24/2026, 10:00:08 AM UTC · paper portfolio anchor $10,000

💎

Basis Sentinel

1 contract(s) ≥7% APR; best 8.4% · 1 position(s) currently open

50%
$5,000

ALLOCATE 50% — score 8.8 (edge 8.4% × val 1.00 × state 1.00 × div 1.10 × liq 0.95); cap 50%, room 50%

score breakdown: edge 8.4% × val 1.00 × state 1.00 × div 1.10 × liq 0.95
💵

Cash Reserve

T-bill 3mo ≈ 5.0% APR (preservation floor)

30%
$3,000

CASH RESIDUAL — preservation floor 30.0%, deployed 70%

📡

Carry Router

BTC +2.88% APR · ETH +3.05% APR · 2 open leg(s)

20%
$2,000

ALLOCATE 20% — score 3.2 (edge 3.0% × val 1.00 × state 1.00 × div 1.10 × liq 0.97); cap 50%, room 20%

score breakdown: edge 3.0% × val 1.00 × state 1.00 × div 1.10 × liq 0.97
🔭

Sentry

Watching 12 DeFi protocols for funding extremes + TVL flow signals. No active position. Portfolio $9,915 (-0.9% since la

0%
$0

REJECTED: no_active_opportunity

How the Treasurer thinks

Each strategy in the BBR lineup exposes a daily snapshot: is there an active opportunity right now, what's the expected APR, how confident is the edge, what's the risk profile. The Treasurer applies hard gates first (reject anything stale, untested, or below threshold), then scores the survivors:

score = expected_apr
        × validation_multiplier   (Tier 1 = 1.0, Tier 2 = 0.65)
        × state_multiplier        (paper_only = 1.0)
        × diversification_mult    (market-neutral gets +20%)
        × liquidity_multiplier    (penalize wide spread)
        − complexity_penalty      (cluster-dependent edges -10%)

The defensive bias comes from portfolio buckets, not the scores themselves: minimum 30% cash reserve, maximum 70% deployed across all risk sleeves, and per-strategy caps (Basis Sentinel ≤ 50%, Carry Router ≤ 50%, Sentry ≤ 15%). When no strategy has an active opportunity, the recommendation is simply: hold cash and wait.

What it does

  • Scores opportunities daily
  • Outputs a recommended weight per strategy
  • Logs every decision (rejected and accepted) with reason
  • Sends a daily Telegram digest

What it does NOT do

  • Place orders
  • Move real or paper capital
  • Optimize aggressively for return
  • Allocate to research-quarantine strategies

Recent decisions (14)

Jul 24, 2026
💎 Basis Sentinel 50% · 📡 Carry Router 20%
70% deployed
30% cash
Jul 23, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 22, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 21, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 20, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 19, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 18, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 17, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 16, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 15, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 14, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 12, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 11, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash
Jul 10, 2026
📡 Carry Router 50%
50% deployed
50% cash

Mode roadmap

Same graduation philosophy as the individual bots: observe first, allocate paper-only second, advise the user third, and only then — much later — execute.

Now · Mode 1

Observer

Scores daily, outputs a recommendation, logs everything. No capital moves.

Mode 2

Paper Allocator

Simulates capital moves on a paper portfolio. Tracks meta-bot PnL vs naive equal-weight. Eligible after ≥90 days of clean Observer logs.

Mode 3

Advisor

Produces human-readable allocation instructions. No orders. User decides.

Mode 4+

Semi-autonomous Executor

Reserved for after the all-paper graduation window (≥6 months forward proof + per-strategy real-money tier). Not before 2026-10-28.

See the strategies the Treasurer routes to

Meet all 11 botsv2.1 framework